85年到95年,整个素里建了大量新屋。

资料来源:http://www.surrey.ca/files/2006-Housing.pdf



Period of Construction.JPG

 

 

素里人口比例。素里的特点是20岁以下儿童和青少年比例高。资料来源:http://www.surrey.ca/files/2006-Age-Gender.pdf


Comparison of population of Surrey and Vancouver(Captured from City of Surrey website).JPG


Populaion of Surrey and Vancouver(Captured from City of Surrey website).JPG

 素里人口预测。人口稳步上升。 资料来源:http://www.surrey.ca/business-economic-development/1418.aspx


Surrey population projection(captured from city of Surrey website).JPG


population projection in different areas of Surrey(Captured from City of Surrey website).JPG

 

素里房屋自有率高。资料来源:http://www.surrey.ca/files/2006-Housing.pdf


Housing Tenue in Metro Vancouver.JPG

但是,素里各个区出租和自住比例区别大。可以明显的看到,素里中心,大量的单元用于出租。这非常容易理解。

因为交通方便,价格低,大量投资客投资素里中心公寓,同时有大量的租客的存在。资料来源:http://www.surrey.ca/files/2006-Housing.pdf


Housing Tenue in Surrey Communities(From City od Surrey website).JPG

 

2011年人口统计,素里有463,340。素里平均家庭收入(家庭平均人口3.5)$92,446.

2010年素里家居总数152,850。资料来源:http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/nhs-enm/2011

 
 
假如素里一个月新增人口1000,每月就需要增加285个(年需近3000)新居住单位才能保持生活质量。
下面看一看每年整个素里总成交量(不包括不在MLS 统计的新房成交量)的情况。

具体成交受季节性变化影响大。3月到6月份是黄金季节。



素里每月成交量比较.JPG


素里历年成交总量.JPG

 
 

 

 

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看一下近几年Fraser Heights(台湾村)的房屋销售情况。

可以看到明显的季节性波动,冬天成交量显著减少。年与年比较,07,09年是好年。2014年还缺少11,12月数据,可能比12,13年好一些,但大多是一个平常年而已。



FRASER HEIGHTS SOLD HISTORY FROM 2007-2014 Chart.JPG


From 2007-2014Fraser Heights yearly sold property units chart.JPG

 
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从1970年起,历年菲莎河谷上市,成交数和成交平均价变化。80年代末,90年代初期大量房上市,同时大量成交。我们也能发现,那个时期,大量新房动工,需求量巨大。在那段时期,大量新开发区涌现:包括在Fraser Heights, Fleetwood的大批新的Subdivide 小区。在Fleetwood,出现了大片Townhouse 区, Guildford出现大批Townhouse和公寓。我没有深入研究那段时期,人口的增长情况,从房屋的需求量来看,应该是快速增长时期。

(Annual Sales, Listings and Average Price from 1970)图标来自Fraser Valley Real Estate Board

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Fraser Valley Real Estate Board
Contact
Laurie Dawson, Assistant Manager, Communications laurie.dawson@fvreb.bc.ca
Fraser Valley Real Estate Board Telephone 604.930.7657
Fax 604.930.7623
www.fvreb.bc.ca
For Immediate Release: December 2, 2014
2014 trend towards increased sales and steady
pricing continues into November
SURREY, BC – The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board processed 1,136 sales on its Multiple Listing Service (MLS®) in
November, an increase of 15 per cent compared to the 986 sales during the same month last year and 22 per cent
lower than the 1,448 sales processed in October.
New listings in the Fraser Valley decreased by 2 per cent in November, going from 1,774 last year to 1,748 last
month taking the number of active listings to 8,302, a decrease of 4 per cent compared to the 8,641 active listings
in November of 2013.
“This is the time of year when families are settling in for winter and the holidays, so we expect to see a decrease in
activity,” explains the Board’s president, REALTOR® Ray Werger. “After a busy fall with volumes reaching 5‐year
highs, we’re winding down the year with sales on par with the ten‐year average, but about 8 per cent fewer new
listings therefore home buyers will notice a shortage of inventory in certain price ranges.”
Pricing continues along the same trends as seen for most of 2014, with single family detached prices continuing to
rise; townhouse prices remaining steady, and apartment prices decreasing. The MLS® Home Price Index (MLS® HPI)
benchmark price of a detached home in November was $575,400 an increase of 4.6 per cent compared to
November 2013, when it was $550,300.
The MLS® HPI benchmark price of townhouses increased 2.2 per cent from $292,400 in November 2013 to
$298,900 last month. The benchmark price of apartments decreased year‐over‐year by 3.5 per cent, going from
$196,200 in November of last year to $189,400 in November 2014.
“Prices are a function of supply and demand ‐ which your REALTOR® will explain varies considerably from area to
area and within the different property types ‐ as well as local amenities, transportation options and future
community development, underscoring the importance of expert guidance when you’re looking to list or buy,”
says Werger.
“Overall, 2014 is shaping up to be a good year for Fraser Valley real estate,” continues Werger. “We hit a bit of a
trough during the summer of last year, but since then sales have recovered and we’re tracking towards a 15 per
cent increase in year‐to‐date sales for 2014 compared to 2013 with prices remaining relatively stable.”

Contact
Laurie Dawson, Assistant Manager, Communications laurie.dawson@fvreb.bc.ca
Fraser Valley Real Estate Board Telephone 604.930.7657
Fax 604.930.7623
www.fvreb.bc.ca

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这是近期,从1990年起,更清晰的Annual Sales, Listings and Average Price (From Fraser Valley Real Estate Board). 从图片上,清楚的看到,2000年,房市进入了低谷,2000年代中期,对房屋的要求又是一个高峰, 这个高峰是几乎和上一次相近。但价格增加的幅度远大于90年代初期。这一段时期,有南素里的开发, Cloverdale 的开发,兰里200号公路沿线的开发等。2010年代, 我们看到,素里中心的公寓开发,兰里208街, 素里Clayton附近公寓,镇屋,独立屋的继续开发。但是幅度显然是减少了。从上市和成交情况来看,简直是平平。但即使这样,很多统计及权威称素里有每个月1000人的人口净流量。

图标来自Fraser Valley Real Estate Board



Annual sales, listings and average price from 1990(from Fraser Valley Real Estate Board).JPG

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